Tag Archives: SP500 Corrrection

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 02Nov2018

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini futures are at 2711.75
Today’s Range: 2699.75 – 2765.75

spx500-futures-minute-chart-analysis2-02nov2018

The futures have dipped below 2700 till 2699.75 in a slow manner, and bounced back sharply from there, indicating that the 2700 support level is holding. Therefore, we will get back our futures lost in the Optional trade of today.

Traders with 10+ contracts: Here’s next Optional trade with 2-3 contracts.
“Buy at 2710 for Target 2745 with Stop loss 2690”

There is no General Trade – the volatility is back, and giving some joy to VIX traders. But we need 2700-2710 levels to get tested again, which will happen today and over the weekend. We may get a suitable setup on Monday. However, if the futures go down to 2680 today, then it will become a good buying opportunity. Please stay alert till market close today. Thanks.

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini futures are at 2713.00
Today’s Range: 2611.75 – 2765.75

We had said on 30th Oct, when the futures were at 2680 that 2750 is a reliable upside target for Nov 2018. And the futures have hit 2750 today itself, which is 2nd Nov. But the futures have corrected sharply after hitting 2766 high today, with 50 points intraday correction, which looks bearish as of now just for the next 1-2 days. The futures have also reacted down from their 200 day SMA, which is not positive, because the goal was to cross the 200 day SMA without major hurdles. The upside trend has appeared firmly in weekly charts, so we need a position to go long, and current position is 50-50, hence not suitable for a general trade.

Traders with 10+ contracts: Here’s an Optional trade with 2-3 contracts.
“Buy at 2715 for Target 2745 with Stop loss 2700”

The support level is strongly in place at 2700, so we may try to take a trade using that support level.
If the futures can hold the 2700 support level, then this is the point of highest risk reward with upside target of 2750 again next week.

[Bonus Trade] This can be done by traders having 1-2 contracts.
“Buy at 2705 for Target 2730 with Stop loss 2690”

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis2-02nov2018

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis1-02nov2018

spx500-futures-weekly-chart-analysis-02nov2018

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 10Oct2018

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Here’s the closing chart of today, with S&P500 futures down more than 100 points down! We were fortunate to have avoided this large fall today. We will be looking for a suitable buying opportunity once market stabilizes.

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis-10oct2018-100pts-down

Traders should be careful with #SP500 below 2880 (as mentioned in previous posts). The large correction of today started below 2880. The uptrend is still intact, above 2800, but the setup is not safe/ready for a new long trade.

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis-10oct2018

We had a long trade, which hit stop loss at 2920, and we have been out of the market since then because short term weakness was visible, while long term uptrend is still intact.

2828 is the 100 day moving average, and it should provide support for a short term bounce back to 2850-2860. Any reliable long trade will come above 2880. The S&P500 is down 63 points and most of the long positions have broken down today with stop losses.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 11Sep2018

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spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis-11sep2018

The S&P500 Emini futures (ES) are currently at 2879, and the day low was 2867.50
Our Emini Futures Trading Strategy is to stay long above 2880 with stop loss 2860 for upside targets of 2930-2950. It is important for the futures to close above 2880, because there is a strong resistance at that level, and it was also the breakout level. A failure to cross 2880 will make it a double top at 2880 – with one top is Jan 2018 and the second top in Sep 2018, which has major implications, with downside targets of 2400-2500 level. Therefore, traders have to be very cautious at the current level, because we are dealing with a major top here and it can make or break the market in the coming days.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 10Sep2018

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini Futures (ES) are currently at 2885. They have moved back above 2880, which was the breakout level two weeks back, and that’s good news because the futures become safe above 2880.

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis-10sep2018

The S&P500 index trend is up, and new long trades can be considered from here onwards, though high reliability long trades will come above 2900. Any long trade at these levels needs 15-20 points stop loss. There is a support at 2850, visible on the weekly charts. However, the major support is at 2800, and any sharp correction will may only stop at 2800-2810 level. So there is some downside in this market, unless bullish moves start asap. Traders must avoid longs below 2880. Today’s moves are looking positive, where the index has come back above its 20 day moving avg.

spx500-futures-weekly-chart-analysis-10sep2018

Our Emini Futures Trading Strategy is to go long above 2880. Upside targets of 2930-2950 are visible now, if 2880 level holds. Below 2880 level, major losses can come rapidly

[Bonus Trade] Buy at 2885 for Target 2900 with Stop loss 2870

Market view: Trade wars and global currency swings are a slippery slope, and sometimes, big negative events have happened in such conditions, so the market is right in being cautious, because the investors are taking risk at current higher-end market valuations and betting on stable economic conditions.

Most large corrections have been in the fall, when the chill winds of the fall season, erase the holiday cheer of the summer, and people are forced to look at the things in a clear way. So we should be careful in September and October. If these two months go without major damage, then we may see new highs on S&P500 by year end in Dec 2018. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Update- 27June2018

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spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis-27june2018

Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini futures are at 2745.00
Today’s Range: 2705.50 – 2748.00

The futures defended 2700 level again today, and then moved up rapidly after the second successful testing of 2700 level. We are fortunate that 2700 stop loss was not hit, though the futures came close to it a couple of times.

Trade#5 of June 2018 has hit target of 2747 today, and this trade has given a gain of 22 points, from our buying at 2725 on Monday.

From the sharp fall of nearly 50 points on Monday to profit on Wednesday – thanks to the inherent fundamental strength of S&P500 index. We had existed the previous trade at 2784 last week, which really helped us save capital in the sharp fall on Monday.

The S&P500 trend us up, therefore our S&P500 Emini (ES) futures trading strategy is to stay long and buy on corrections nearer to strong support levels. There is no immediate trade as of now. A new long trade can be considered on closing above 2760. So we will wait and watch. Thanks.