Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 27Jan2020

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3244.00
Today’s Range (so far): 3235.75 – 3268.50

The futures are down 50 points from Friday’s closing. There was a gap down opening of 25 points below Friday’s closing of 3293, and the futures have gone down further on liquidation of long positions with stop losses. As we mentioned earlier, the futures can correct rapidly below 3300, and that has played out since Friday evening. That’s why 3300-3290 were last Stop loss on our General Trades.

In the very short term, the hourly charts are now showing positive momentum, which can support price from falling further. But this quick 100 point correction from 3337 to 3235 has broken many support levels, and rework is needed at each key level like 3250, 3280, 3300.

spx500-futures-hourly-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

Most importantly, the strong uptrend that started on 10th Oct 2019 is at risk currently, unless the futures move above 3280 within this week.

The key support levels on the downside are at 3200 and 3180, but the futures may not go there directly, and there maybe upward spikes. The S&P500 futures will be strong above 3260, and fresh selling pressure will come below 3180. Trades with 10-20 point Stop loss will not work in current conditions of high volatility. Position size needs to be smaller, and Stop loss needs to be wider.

spx500-futures-5hr-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

This is an unforeseen event based correction, and its difficult to predict how much impact it will have. We have to let the big market players decide the market direction in the next 2-3 days, while we observe carefully. We should avoid new trades till we get some clarity. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Update- 01Aug2016

This is an actual email sent to subscribers on August 1, 2016.

Hello Folks, the futures are currently at 2163.
The S&P500 has been facing profit booking, but the upmove can start again
if corporate earnings play out well. The US Fed interest rate hikes are
now not seen become October, so that is a comfort factor for the market.

The base case for S&P500 index is to move higher towards target 2200.
But August has been volatile in recent years, bringing different reasons
every time. So we must be cautious. Downsides can emerge out of nowhere
and in such a case, long unwinding can rapidly take the S&P500 index back
to 2000-2050 levels. Continue reading

S&P500 Emini Futures Trading Update– 02Dec2015

After many months, today our Stop Loss got hit at 2085, on the latest buying at 2100 done yesterday afternoon or tomorrow morning. So we are down 15 points this month as of 2nd December. In light of the sudden selling pressure today, exiting the long trade at our stop loss was the right thing to do. However, not to worry. We have made our success with careful trading strategy, and we shall recover these 15 points and lot more in the coming days/weeks.

The market is giving us a message that long positions, which took the index to 2100 yesterday were not willing to hold ahead of the US Fed meeting later this month, and many stop losses, including ours, got hit today. The S&P500 index is out of Buy Zone today but it is not in Sell zone yet. The market uptrend is still intact, but it needs caution for next 1-2 days. There is no trade for tomorrow (Thursday, Dec 03, 2015). We shall analyze the market data to arrive at our next trade. Thanks.