Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 09Oct2018


The S&P500 Emini futures are at 2889.00
Today’s Range: 2874.50 – 2900.00

The futures are testing 2880 level again today, and it also now coincides with the 50 day moving average. Please see the chart. The futures have made a higher high and higher low today, compared to yesterday, which is positive. The futures must close above the 50 day moving average, otherwise downside risk increases rapidly over next 2-3 days.

There is no trade as of now, but today is important and futures must close around 2890 for a chance for upmove by eod Friday. Closing below 2885 will be bearish in the near term, and this is October month – so we need to be extra cautious.
The futures have some work to do here at 2888, and they have to move up above 2900. A suitable long trade in the current market may come at/above 2900, with target 2930, and 2880 as stop loss. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 23Mar2018


Hello Folks, the Emini S&P500 (ES) futures are at 2650. The futures broke their support at 2650 yesterday and went down till 2620 today morning, and have recovered from there back to 2650. However, 2600 is most likely to be tested once before any reversal, because the 200 day SMA is at 2596 currently, and the 200 day EMA is at 2610 currently. So the futures will most likely test 2600 level today or in the next couple of days before we can expect a reliable reversal.

We can expect a reversal from 2600 towards 2700 because the fundamentals of S&P500 companies are in good shape. But its very rare to see a reversal without testing the 200 day SMA when the index is so close to it. Strong support is at 2580, which should hold this time. Resistance is at 2680 and 2780. Please see the attached chart. Continue reading

Emini Futures Trading Update- 03Jan2017

Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini futures are at 2242. The futures lost 20 points from day high of 2059 to make day low of 2039.

Trade#1 of Jan 2017 has hit stop loss at 2248. This is our 3rd stop loss of 6 points in this zone of 2250, including the two stops we had in December month So we will have to wait for 2250 to be crossed or broken decisively. All these stop losses will be recovered in one good trade of 20-25 points.

I am looking at 2260 on the S&P500 index. There is a clear long trade above this level. The index went till 2263 today but failed to hold and a 20 point sell off followed. We will get back into the market in a day or two once direction become clear again. There will be tactical trades along the way. The zone for short trades is from below 2240 as mentioned in previous mail today. The futures have bounced back from 2240 multiple times, so we have to see if this level holds.

Traders with 1-2 contracts: There is no immediate trade. Please wait for the next trade specifically for you.

Traders with 5-10 contracts: Here is another tactical trade for you. You can Buy 1-2 contracts at/above 2242 for Target 2252 with Stop 2238. [Update: This tactical trade of 10 points was successfully completely today itself by end of day]

Please Note: The broad view for this month is to be long above 2250 and short below 2240. We will try to create trades using this view. 2252 is acting a key resistance in futures, and 2238 is acting as support.

Background Notes: Jan has been a tough month for markets last 3 years, with S&P500 losing at least 3 percent in Jan 2014, 2015, 2016. Jan is difficult because large investors will do portfolio adjustments and if previous months were good, there is a tendency to become conservative and go into liquid funds. We traders need to be very cautious in Jan. All the best!

Emini Futures Trading Update- 02Sep2016

Following is an email sent to our subscribers on Sep 02, 2016 afternoon.

Hello Folks, the S&P500 Emini futures closed at 2178.50.
Today’s range was: 2164.50 – 2183.75
Our target of 2173 was hit in the morning itself. In fact, the futures opened at 2176, so those traders who placed orders at market open would have got 2176-2180 as their selling price. Those traders who kept the orders in the system during pre-market hours would have got 2173 before market open. So we have got between 2173 and 2180 on different contracts based when they were placed for sale.

So our Trade#1 of Sep 2016 is completed successfully with 14 points gain. That’s a great start for Sep 2016. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Update- 06July2016

Following is our email sent to subscribers on July 6, 2016.

Hello Folks, the futures are currently at 2086. They have recovered nicely from day low of 2066. However, selling pressure is visible on daily charts, and today’s lower level buying may not hold if fresh round of selling comes. At the same time, the V-shape recovery from lower levels after Brexit is impressive. It is possible that 2100 on futures will get tested again.

Please note our Emini Futures Trading Strategy for this July month: The 2053 number in futures is still intact as the dividing line for positional long and short trades. Below 2053, we start a short trade with 2063 as stop. Above 2053, we start a long trade with 2043 as stop.

* Traders with 1-2 contracts: There is no trade as of now for you.
* Traders with 5-10 contracts: You may buy 1-2 contracts at 2086 for target 2096, with Stop 2076. This tactical trade can play out by Friday. Thanks.