Trend: The S&P500 index futures are currently bullish, but with a clear resistance at 2400 level, which is just 20 points above the current 2080 level. The weekly chart is pointing to higher prices in the coming months, though we may see some correction in the near term due to the sharp run up in the last few days. The futures appear overbought, but may continue to become more overbought before reversing. Traders should look for some price weakness before taking any bearish positions.
Levels: There is a good buying support at 2330 level. The futures will remain bullish as long as they are trading above 2300 level. Upside targets of 2400 were visible to us even when futures were at 2330 level. The futures are currently in uptrend, but now we are close to the ceiling/upper limit. There is a strong resistance at 2400 level. This 2400 level was our target when futures were down at 2330, and there will be selling pressure near 2400 level. The futures need to close above 2410 for the next leg of upmove. The futures will face increased selling pressure below 2380 and 2360 level can be tested again. From 2380 level, there is a 50-50 chance of going down to 2350 or going above 2400. Therefore, we can only do optional/tactical trades till we get clarity on the direction. The big target of 2500 is intact for this year, so we will go long at suitable times.
(a) Traders can take long positions above 2410 for Target 2440 with 2390 as Stop loss. This trade would offer 30 points gain with 20 points risk.
(b) Traders can take short positions below 2300 for Target 2250 with 2320 as Stop loss. This trade would offer 50 points gain with 20 points risk. Continue reading