Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 27Jan2020

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3244.00
Today’s Range (so far): 3235.75 – 3268.50

The futures are down 50 points from Friday’s closing. There was a gap down opening of 25 points below Friday’s closing of 3293, and the futures have gone down further on liquidation of long positions with stop losses. As we mentioned earlier, the futures can correct rapidly below 3300, and that has played out since Friday evening. That’s why 3300-3290 were last Stop loss on our General Trades.

In the very short term, the hourly charts are now showing positive momentum, which can support price from falling further. But this quick 100 point correction from 3337 to 3235 has broken many support levels, and rework is needed at each key level like 3250, 3280, 3300.

spx500-futures-hourly-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

Most importantly, the strong uptrend that started on 10th Oct 2019 is at risk currently, unless the futures move above 3280 within this week.

The key support levels on the downside are at 3200 and 3180, but the futures may not go there directly, and there maybe upward spikes. The S&P500 futures will be strong above 3260, and fresh selling pressure will come below 3180. Trades with 10-20 point Stop loss will not work in current conditions of high volatility. Position size needs to be smaller, and Stop loss needs to be wider.

spx500-futures-5hr-chart-analysis2-27jan2020

This is an unforeseen event based correction, and its difficult to predict how much impact it will have. We have to let the big market players decide the market direction in the next 2-3 days, while we observe carefully. We should avoid new trades till we get some clarity. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 23Jan2020

spx500-futures-5hr-chart-analysis-23jan2020

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Thursday, January 23, 2020 11:09 am EST
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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3307.25
Today’s Range (so far): 3301.50 – 3321.25

As expected with 50-50 chance, the futures went down today till 3301, and have bounced back, and both 3300 and 3310 support levels are getting tested currently. But we can’t say as of now, whether this bounce back is enough for testing the support of whether the futures will go down till 3290 for complete support testing.

The set up of today has clarified our next General Trade, which will come once the futures start moving up again. Here is the next General Trade.
Trade#4 of Jan 2020
“Buy at 3323 for Target 3343 with Stop loss 3308”
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Update: The above trade got activated by end of today.

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Thursday, January 23, 2020 8:16 am EST
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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3313.50
Today’s Range (so far): 3312.00 – 3321.25

The set up is fairly good, but still it’s not fully suitable for a new General Trade, because there is a 50-50 chance of a retest of 3300 level, which maybe a downward spike that will take out many stop losses. So, we don’t want to risk our existing gains of the month. However, the current set up is a fairly good for a new long trade with 10 point Stop loss, which we can do as an Optional Trade below.

[Bonus Trade]
“Buy at 3315 for Target 3333 with Stop loss 3300.”
This trade will trigger right away. Thanks.

Update: The above Bonus Trade got activated by end of Thursday, January 23,
and hit target 3333 on Friday, January 24, within 24 hours of trade starting.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 21Jan2020

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis1-21jan2020

Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3321.50
Today’s Range (so far): 3307.50 – 3325.50

S&P500 Futures Technical Analysis: The futures are facing profit taking after moving to new life time highs of 3325-3330, which is very normal. Last week was positive and this week is looking okay as of now. We could see retest of 3300-3290 this week on the downside, and we could see 3340-3350 on the upside. The futures are trying to move up currently. Today’s close will be an important indication.

Our SP500 Emini Futures Trading Strategy continues to be the same. We want to buy on corrections and sell with 20-30 points gain. We may get a new General Trade today, based on how the futures handle 3310-3320 level. Please stay alert. Thanks.

[Bonus Trade]
“Buy at 3313 for Target 3333 with Stop loss 3293.”
This trade may trigger today or tomorrow morning.

Note on Position Size: Please note that we can trade max 1 Emini Contract (50 futures) for every $10K trading capital. So max 2 Emini Contracts (100 futures) for $20K capital, and max 10 Emini Contracts (500 futures) for $100K capital. Position size management is very critical for success in futures trading, because it enables us to navigate different types of market conditions without breaking down. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 16Jan2020

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis1-16jan2020

Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3320.50
Today’s Range: 3294.50 – 3323.00

The following Optional Trade, or Bonus Trade given yesterday got activated today morning at 3300, and got completed by eod today itself at 3320, giving 20 points gain.
“Buy at 3300 for Target 3320 with Stop loss 3280.”

It could have been a General Trade, but the set up was a bit less reliable that what we would like to have for a General Trade. Plus we would put to risk the 20 points we have already made earlier this month.

All along, we were sure of the futures hitting 3300 during Jan 2020, and the way they moved up today morning with a gap-up, it indicated clear buying strength, with increasing momentum. 3320 was visible as the target, but the path was not clear. We are glad it has given gains to several traders who used that input. 3325 may come tomorrow and the second Optional Trade can also complete, from 3305 to 3325.

Just fyi, it takes a lot more thought and analysis when we are trading at lifetime high levels like today, because we have no reference points from previous market action at that level, and we have to create them ourselves. We have to remain long, and we have to remain cautious. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 15Jan2020

The S&P500 Futures are looking ready to cross 3300 level.
Above 3300, the immediate upside target will be 3320-3330.
Traders can use 3275 or 3280 as the Stop loss on long trades.

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis2-15jan2020

The support nearest level is at 3275, which was the level from which the futures bounced back on Tuesday, 14 Jan 2020 and the futures stayed above this level today, while trying to move higher, and made a new life time high of 3299.

SP500 Trend is clearly up, and traders should only do long trades.
However, the momentum is coming down, which may create resistance for upmove.

spx500-futures-daily-chart-analysis1-15jan2020