Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 26May2017


Emini Futures Trading Strategy:  The S&P500 Emini Futures have bounced back from 2350, and crossed 2400 decisively last week. Now the target is 2450. There will be some resistance around 2420-2430 level, and above that 2450 can come within 1-2 trading sessions. The S&P500 Emini Futures Trading Strategy is to stay long, and buy any correction towards 2400, because 2400 will act as a good support now. The real strong support is at 2380 level. However, fresh long positions should be created only above 2400 level with max stop loss around 2380 level.

[Bonus Trade] Buy S&P500 Emini Futures at 2410 for Target 2450 with Stop Loss 2390.

Technical Analysis: Majority of the indicators are giving buy signal.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI) Indicator: CCI (112.94) has crossed into the bullish region, issuing a buy signal. CCI will signal liquidation of this position when the CCI value crosses back into the neutral center region. CCI often misses the early part of a new move because of the large amount of time spent out of the market in the neutral region. Initiating signals when CCI crosses zero, rather than waiting for CCI to cross out of the neutral region can often help overcome this. Given this interpretation, CCI (112.94) is currently long. The current long position position will be reversed when the CCI crosses below zero. Adding bullish pressure the market just reached a 45 bar new high.

RSI Indicator: RSI is in neutral territory (67.99). This indicator issues buy signals when the RSI line dips below the bottom line into the oversold zone; a sell signal is generated when the RSI rises above the top line into the overbought zone. RSI is somewhat overbought (RSI is at 67.99), but given the 45 bar new high here, greater overbought levels are likely.

MACD Indicator: MACD is in bearish territory, but has not issued a signal here. MACD generates a signal when the FastMA crosses above or below the SlowMA. The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. MACD is in bearish territory. However, the recent upturn in the MacdMA may indicate a short term rally within the next few bars.

Bollinger Bands Indicator: The Bollinger Bands are indicating an overbought market. An overbought reading occurs when the close is nearer to the top band than the bottom band. The market appears overbought, but may continue to become more overbought before reversing. Given that we closed at a 45 bar new high, the chance for further bullish momentum is greatly increased. Look for some price weakness before taking any bearish positions based on this indicator.

Momentum Indicator: Momentum (27.95) is above zero, indicating an overbought market. The long term trend, based on a 45 bar moving average, is UP. The short term trend, based on a 9 bar moving average, is UP. Momentum is indicating an overbought market. However the market may continue to become more overbought. Given the 45 bar new high here this is even likely. Look for some evidenced weakness before getting too bearish here.

Volatility Indicator: Volatility is trending up based on a 9 bar moving average.

Disclaimer: The above analysis is meant solely for technical analysis of the S&P500 Emini Futures. It is not designed to provide any investment advice.

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