Tag Archives: SP500 Targets

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 29Apr2020

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 2934.00
Today’s Range (so far): 2870.75 – 2935.25

The futures have bounced back today after hitting our Stop loss at 2880 yesterday, during the unexpected 70 point fall from 2913 till 2851.

Unfortunately, our carefully selected General Trade hit 20 points stop loss yesterday (though it was with only 20% position size). And now the futures have gone up and hit 2930, the target we had for that trade. It
feels bad to be in that situation. In normal markets, we may have bought back the futures 20 points below stop loss to reestablish the positions, but the current market can go anywhere rapidly, so we could not take that risk.

2880 is the critical level and the futures bounced above it in early morning trade. Near-term targets are 2930, 2950 and 3000, but the volatility is still high to do a General Trade. In addition, the US Fed meeting notes will come today, which can move the futures rapidly up/down. Continue reading →

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 24Apr2020

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 2827.00
Today’s Range: 2755.00 – 2834.50

The S&P500 futures came till 2836 yesterday, and then sharply fell to 2785 within 3 minutes after negative news related to Coronavirus vaccine. It was a 50 point cut in 3 minutes, which would have taken out a lot of stop
losses. The futures went till about 2755 yesterday but did not break 2750. That is positive, and they are again up today at nearly 2830. This is a bullish sign. I think the futures will test 2900 in the coming days.

The major resistance has been around 2850-2880. Above 2880, this resistance will be taken out, and S&P500 Trend will be firmly up. We may get a chance to do General Trade (for all Traders) above 2880, even if its with a smaller position size. I am watching the market closely to see how can we use the current bullish setup of today for our trade next week. Above 2900, the target will be 2930.

[Bonus Trade]
“Buy at 2880 for Target 2930 with Stop loss 2850”
The above trade will trigger at 2880 and has 30 points risk for 50 points reward. All trades should be done with smaller than usual position size because of volatile markets. Thanks.

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 01Apr2020

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Hi, the S&P500 futures are at 2459.00, down 110 points or -4.30%
Today’s Range: 2453.50 – 2563.00

The futures were at 2611 when I mailed you yesterday,
and mentioned this in the market levels.
“- Safety will start above 2650 (we are almost there!)”

But the futures could not even go near 2650!
They reached 2635 and started facing selling pressure, and they are now below 2460, down 170 points since yesterday’s high. Its not hard for the futures to move up/down 30 points in the current market conditions with high volatility, but they could not even approach 2650 yesterday. It means the market is not yet ready for become safe and stable, which means more correction, till we get better conditions. In regular market conditions, the S&P500 futures can stay flat for a couple of days, but that’s not possible now. If the market can’t go up, it has go do down without any waiting. Continue reading →

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 03Mar2020

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are currently at 3076.00
Today’s Range (so far): 3024.25 – 3135.50

Every day is a 100+ point day in range these days!
The futures moving up and down 50 points within 30 minutes- very high volatility.

The Optional Trade given yesterday (long from 2950 to 3050) hit its target of 3050 yesterday itself, giving 100 points gain. A few traders also did the previous Optional Trade during pre-market hours (with 50 points Stop loss at 2950) and for them the net gain would be 50 points. For other traders, who took just the Optional Trade during the day time, their gain was 100 points.

So it was worth taking a follow-on trade at 2950 despite getting hit with a Stop loss, because 3050 target was reliable (200 day SMA retest), and it came within a 24 hours of reversal from lower levels. Continue reading →

Emini Futures Trading Analysis- 06Feb2020

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Hello Folks, the S&P500 futures are at 3343.00
Today’s Range: 3322.25 – 3357.00
The futures broke out of the 3330-3340 resistance zone last evening, during after market hours, and raced up till 3357.

“But the uptrend is also in good momentum, and we have target of 3350-3360”
— The above target came during after market hours, and a few active traders could use it for making fresh gains. In our own trading accounts, 3353 target got executed but orders placed at 3358 got missed by a point.

Optional Trade update:
“Buy at 3333 for Target 3353 with Stop loss 3213.”

The above trade given yesterday after market hours, did not execute at 3333 yesterday evening, because the futures were moving around 3335, and then took off for 20 point upmove to 3355, within 5-10 minutes of my mail. In other words, by the time the trade was visible to us, it also became visible to many other traders and trading algorithms! A few nimble traders were able to buy during this upmove between 3335-3340 and sell at 3353, with 10-15 points gain.

If you have bought at 3333 today morning with limit buy order, then please exit at current price of 3343, with 10 points gain, because this is not the same trade of yesterday, because the 3353 target has already been hit. We have no new trade as of now, and will mail you again later with market analysis. Thanks.